Cutie Pox Simulator Free Download

Tan Kang Soon (kstan.gitlab.io) March 20, 2020

Introduction

I am not a virus expert or a math expert. I am just a game developer and I enjoy making small toys like this one. I thought it would be fun to create a virus simulation and see if we can get any kind of consistent results from it. Do not take this simulation or my thought as accurate of the real situation happening now around the world.

ResultsTLDR: Even small attempts at social distancing and lowering infection rate by practicing good personal hygiene can go a long way in fighting a disease outbreak - more so than you think!At the simulation's default setting of Population Size = 200, Social Distance = 2, Infection Rate = 0.8 and Recovery Rate = 0.8, the resulting graph should look something like this.Infection numbers peaked at 183 really quickly, which is very near to the max size of the population. In the real world, this might mean that medical resource of that population will be extremely stretched. We might see a higher mortality rate.So let us try and lower the peak numbers. This time, let us try to practice some social distancing. By increasing social distance from 2 to 4, we get an optimistically different result.